Poker cash game win rate1/4/2024 At 5/10, a good winning reg may expect to make in the area of 50 or 60 each hour. For good poker players, this makes the games beatable. Even yet, there will normally be 3-4 somewhat weak players in the mix. Basically this says if you have played 1000k hands ( 1 million) and you have a winrate "x" (doesn't matter what the value is) your true winrate is +/- about 2.00bb/100, so if after 1 million hands you have a 3bb winrate there is a 95% chance your true winrate falls between 1bb and 5bb. In your local 1000NL live game, the best players in the area will usually play. This table gives a 95% confidence interval for a given win rate +/- range given a standard deviation (top x axis, 60 through 120) and given a sample size (left side y axis, 50-1000k hands). This can be sort of estimated to give you a reasonable range of what your "true" win rate might fall into based on your sample size and standard deviation.įor example, someone with a 10bb win rate over 10k hands might not actually be a 10bb winner and given that sample size and his known standard deviation you can apply a confidence interval to determine within whatever degree of certainty you'd want what his true winrate "range" would be. It should also be stated that win rates are a function of not only skill, but to a large degree the amount of luck. Any win rate is going to be quite good, but here is my anecdotal opinion. Well, it's fair to say most players are not winning at all.
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